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Table 6 Anchor-based analysis of meaningful change from baseline to week 12: PGRS and PGRC

From: Psychometric evaluation of the Urgency NRS as a new patient-reported outcome measure for patients with ulcerative colitis

Urgency NRS score change thresholda

PGRSb

PGRCc

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive predictive value

Negative predictive value

Youden’s indexd

AUROCe

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive predictive value

Negative predictive value

Youden’s indexd

AURC e

 + 10

1.00

0.00

0.35

-

0.00

-

1.00

0.00

0.58

-

0.00

-

 + 9

1.00

0.00

0.35

-

0.00

-

1.00

0.00

0.58

-

0.00

-

 + 8

1.00

0.00

0.35

-

0.00

-

1.00

0.00

0.58

-

0.00

-

 + 7

1.00

0.00

0.35

-

0.00

-

1.00

0.00

0.58

-

0.00

-

 + 6

1.00

0.00

0.35

1.00

0.00

0.50

1.00

0.00

0.58

1.00

0.00

0.50

 + 5

1.00

0.01

0.35

1.00

0.01

0.50

1.00

0.01

0.58

0.75

0.01

0.50 ara>

 + 4

1.00

0.01

0.35

1.00

0.01

0.50

1.00

0.01

0.58

0.67

0.01

0.50

 + 3

1.00

0.01

0.35

1.00

0.01

0.51

1.00

0.01

0.58

0.71

0.01

0.50

 + 2

1.00

0.03

0.35

1.00

0.03

0.51

1.00

0.03

0.58

0.83

0.03

0.51

 + 1

1.00

0.06

0.36

0.95

0.05

0.53

0.99

0.07

0.59

0.81

0.06

0.53

0

0.99

0.14

0.38

0.96

0.13

0.57

0.96

0.18

0.62

0.76

0.14

0.57

 − 1

0.97

0.35

0.44

0.95

0.32

0.66

0.89

0.42

0.68

0.74

0.31

0.65

 − 2

0.90

0.54

0.51

0.91

0.44

0.72

0.77

0.59

0.72

0.65

0.36

0.68

 − 3

0.79

0.74

0.61

0.87

0.52

0.76

0.60

0.77

0.78

0.59

0.37

0.69

 − 4

0.65

0.85

0.70

0.82

0.50

0.75

0.45

0.86

0.81

0.53

0.31

0.66

 − 5

0.48

0.94

0.80

0.77

0.42

0.71

0.31

0.93

0.86

0.50

0.24

0.62

 − 6

0.39

0.96

0.82

0.73

0.30

0.65

0.21

0.95

0.85

0.47

0.16

0.58

 − 7

0.17

0.99

0.88

0.69

0.16

0.58

0.11

0.98

0.89

0.45

0.09

0.54

 − 8

0.06

1.00

0.88

0.67

0.05

0.53

0.04

1.00

0.92

0.43

0.03

0.52

 − 9

0.02

1.00

1.00

0.66

0.02

0.51

0.01

1.00

1.00

0.43

0.01

0.51

 − 10

0.01

1.00

1.00

0.66

0.01

0.50

0.00

1.00

1.00

0.42

0.00

0.50

  1. AUROC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, NRS Numeric Rating Scale, PGRC Patient Global Rating of Change, PGRS Patient Global Rating of Severity
  2. aAn increase in Urgency NRS score represents deterioration and a decrease represents improvement
  3. bPGRS responders were participants with a ≥ 2-point improvement in PGRS score between baseline and week 12
  4. cPGRC responders were participants with a PGRC score of 1 or 2 at week 12
  5. dSensitivity + specificity − 1. Bold: highest value of Youden’s index. A higher value of Youden’s index indicates a better balance of sensitivity and specificity of the potential NRS score change threshold in identifying responders based on the anchor (PGRS or PGRC)
  6. eAUROC was calculated from a logistic regression model with the anchor variable as the dependent variable and urgency improvement status (as defined by the Urgency NRS threshold) as the independent variable. Bold: highest value of AUROC